Erwin sits in a cold-moderate climate band, and that matters more for track problems than people expect. Steel track contracts in winter cold, and the mounting brackets anchored into older wood framing - common in houses built around 1965 - loosen a little more each freeze-thaw cycle. Add fifty-plus years of that cycle and you get brackets that have backed out just enough for the track to flex when the door runs. On a newer door with modern galvanized hardware and plastic shims, that flex gets absorbed. On a door from this era, it doesn't, and eventually a roller pops the lip of the track. We also see this more on doors that get opened and closed daily without anyone ever checking the track alignment, since a slight drift goes unnoticed until the day it doesn't.